Governor Godwin Obaseki of Edo State is in the final year of his second term and will leave office in November 2024. His chosen successor, Asue Ighodalo, is a strong contender in the upcoming governorship election, but several factors might contribute to the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) losing the election. Here are three key reasons:
1. PDP’s Refusal to Sign Peace Accord: The refusal of Edo PDP to sign a peace accord for the election has raised concerns. The refusal, particularly on September 12, 2024, sends negative signals to both opposition parties and voters, with fears that the election might be tainted by violence. If significant violence occurs, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) might cancel results, which would be damaging to the PDP’s prospects.
2. Vote Buying and Federal Might: Vote buying has become a common issue in Nigerian elections. The ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) has significant resources, and as the party in power at the federal level, it may attempt to sway voters with financial incentives. This practice of vote buying, combined with the party’s financial strength, could disadvantage the PDP.
3. The Oshiomhole Factor: Former Governor and APC National Chairman, Senator Adams Oshiomhole, remains a dominant figure in Edo politics. Though not contesting in the election, Oshiomhole is backing the APC’s candidate, Monday Okpebholo. His influence and political rivalry with Governor Obaseki add pressure on the PDP, making it a tough contest for Ighodalo.
These factors, including internal challenges and strong opposition, might contribute to a possible defeat for the PDP in the 2024 Edo governorship election.
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